CASE Capital Markets - 3rd Wall street

CASE Capital Markets - 3rd Wall streetCASE Capital Markets - 3rd Wall streetCASE Capital Markets - 3rd Wall street

CASE Capital Markets - 3rd Wall street

CASE Capital Markets - 3rd Wall streetCASE Capital Markets - 3rd Wall streetCASE Capital Markets - 3rd Wall street
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hurricane melissa aftermath damages & cost in the relief. recovery. rebuild efforts

caribbean americas single economy (case)

usvi sedi-case funding the relief. recovery. rebuild

SEDI-CASE Capital markets & 3rd wall street

Caribbean Region Disaster Data Overview

 Caribbean Americas Single Economy Funding the Aftermath of Hurricane Melissa


  • Infrastructure loss: Hurricanes destroy buildings, airports, seaports, roads, and utilities like electricity and water systems, leading to immediate and substantial financial losses.
  • Extreme damage: The destruction can be catastrophic; for example, Hurricane Maria caused damage to Dominica in excess of 226% of its GDP, and Hurricane Irma's damage to St. Maarten was $2.1 billion. 


Impacts on trade and exports


  • Disruption of supply chains: Damage to ports and infrastructure cripples export capabilities.
  • Reduced trade volume: Exports can drop significantly for months following a storm, with some studies showing reductions of up to 20%.
  • Vulnerability of key sectors: The impact on exports is particularly harsh because economies heavily rely on agriculture and tourism, both of which are highly sensitive to extreme weather. 


Long-term economic consequences


  • Increased public debt: The high costs of reconstruction often lead to a significant and sustained increase in a nation's public debt, sometimes by as much as 18% for several years following a major storm.
  • Reduced economic growth: The combination of reduced exports, damage to infrastructure, and the high cost of reconstruction hinders long-term economic growth and development.
  • Impact on tourism: Damage to hotels, airports, and cruise ports can decimate tourism, a primary source of foreign exchange for many Caribbean nations. 


Other impacts


  • Increased costs: Insurance premiums rise for homeowners and businesses due to increased risk, and utility costs often remain high and unreliable.
  • Human and social costs: Hurricanes can lead to job losses, out-migration, and an increase in poverty, compounding existing economic fragility. 


Hurricanes inflict a massive and disproportionate economic toll on the Caribbean, with damages often reaching hundreds of percent of a country's GDP. These impacts are felt across all sectors, particularly tourism and agriculture, and have severe long-term consequences, including increased national debt and reduced long-term economic growth. 


Scale of the Damage


  • Disproportionate Losses: While damages in larger countries might be a fraction of GDP, in the smaller island nations of the Caribbean, they are often catastrophic relative to the size of their economies. Dominica, for instance, lost an estimated 253% of its GDP during Hurricane Maria in 2017, just two years after losing 92% of its GDP to Tropical Storm Erika.
  • Significant Historical Costs: Between 1950 and 2016, total damages from tropical storms in the Caribbean were estimated at over US$181.3 billion.
  • Frequent and Severe Events: Caribbean nations experience yearly losses due to storm damages equivalent to an average of 17% of their GDP when hit by storms.
  • Infrastructure Destruction: Critical infrastructure such as housing, transport, education facilities, airports, and seaports are frequently damaged or destroyed, disrupting supply chains and essential services for extended periods. 


Sector-Specific Impacts


  • Tourism: As a vital source of income for most Caribbean islands, the tourism sector is highly vulnerable. Damage to hotels, airports, and other infrastructure, combined with negative perceptions of safety, can deter visitors and result in significant, long-term revenue losses.
  • Agriculture: Hurricanes devastate crops and livestock, leading to major financial losses, threatening food security, and increasing reliance on imports. Hurricane Ivan destroyed 85% of Grenada's nutmeg crop in 2004, a top export, with long-lasting effects.
  • Trade: Hurricanes disrupt international trade by damaging port facilities and transport networks. Exports of goods can decline by as much as 20% in the month of a strike and up to three months after, while imports also see significant, immediate reductions. 


Long-Term Consequences


  • Debt Cycle: To fund emergency responses and reconstruction, governments often have to reallocate funds, borrow externally, or rely on international aid, leading to increased debt levels and fiscal stress.
  • Stagnated Growth: Repeated storms discourage investment, lead to population decline (due to outmigration), and can result in annual average GDP growth rates that are 1-7.5 percentage points lower than in cyclone-free scenarios.
  • Insurance Challenges: Increased risk from worsening storms makes insurance premiums prohibitively expensive or unavailable in many areas, hindering recovery and investment. 


The economic impact of hurricanes in the Caribbean is a critical development challenge, requiring robust resilience planning and international support to break the cycle of destruction and debt. 

On average, countries in the Caribbean suffer yearly losses

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    historical & markets data Downloads

    The Cost of Climate Change for Caribbean Economies (pdf)

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    ScienceDirect Report (pdf)

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    Macroeconomic-Modeling-of-Managing-Hurricane-Damage-in-the-Caribbean-The-Case-of-Jamaica (pdf)

    Download

    Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (pdf)

    Download

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